
Sara Duterte's 'kill' threats deemed 'serious, real' by NBI
The National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) has assessed Vice President Sara Duterte's alleged threats to 'kill' President Marcos and others as 'serious' and 'real,' finding them to constitute grave threats and incitement to sedition. This was revealed during testimony in an impeachment trial.
The National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) has assessed Vice President Sara Duterte's alleged threats to have President Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr., First Lady Liza Araneta-Marcos, and former House Speaker Martin Romualdez killed as "serious" and "real," finding that she committed grave threats and incitement to sedition. Atty. Jeremy Lotoc, NBI regional director for the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM), made this statement while testifying as a prosecution witness on the fourth article of impeachment. This article accuses Duterte of making grave threats against President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr., First Lady Liza Araneta-Marcos, and then-House Speaker Martin Romualdez. "Based on our findings, we believe that the Vice President committed the crime of grave threats and inciting to sedition… prima facie evidence with reasonable certainty of conviction," Lotoc stated. Lotoc also testified that the NBI found Duterte’s statements had a tendency to incite sedition. "These statements have tendency to stir up the people against the government… to disturb peace of the community… to undermine peace and public order," he said. Lotoc said investigators concluded that Duterte had the intent, motive, and capability to carry out the threats she made during an online press briefing on November 23, 2024. They considered at least four factors in evaluating Duterte's alleged threats, including the manner in which the statements were delivered. "The Vice President was furious and fuming mad when she uttered [those alleged threats]," Lotoc told the Senate impeachment court on the fourth day of Duterte's impeachment trial. "Nakita namin dun sa video nung ni-run namin. If I'm not mistaken, more or less walong beses siyang galit na galit at nagmumura at minumura sina Presidente, First Lady, and ex-Speaker," he added. (Translation: "We saw in the video, when we reviewed it, that if I'm not mistaken, she was extremely angry and repeatedly hurled expletives at the President, the First Lady, and the former Speaker—around eight times.") Lotoc said investigators also considered the literal meaning of Duterte's statements, the nature of her instructions, and the relationship between the parties involved. During the continuation of the trial, House prosecutors presented portions of Duterte's late-night online press conference in November 2024. Lotoc said the investigation found that Duterte directed expletives at Marcos, the First Lady, and Romualdez at least eight times. "To me, as the chief investigator at that time, the utterances made by the Vice President were serious, and the threat was real and actual," Lotoc said. "We considered the content and context of the utterances made by the VP on November 23, 2024, as well as the utterances made by the VP on October 18, 2024, and the reactions of the recipients and several government agencies," he added. Before Lotoc took the witness stand, House private prosecutor Amando Virgil Ligutan outlined what the prosecution sought to establish through the NBI official’s testimony. "Dineklara ng bise presidente na siya ay kumontrata na ng isang tao para patayin ang Pangulo ng Republika ng Pilipinas, ang Unang Ginang, at ang dating Speaker ng House of Representatives," Ligutan said. (Translation: "The Vice President declared that she had contracted a person to kill the President of the Republic of the Philippines, the First Lady, and the former Speaker of the House of Representatives.") Lotoc is the second witness presented by the House prosecution panel to testify on Article IV of the Articles of Impeachment, which concerns the alleged grave threats and assassination plot against the First Couple and Romualdez. Lotoc previously served as chief of the NBI Cybercrime Division, which investigated Duterte's late-night online press conference in November 2024.— with Sherylin Untalan/MCG/BM, GMA News
多角的分析
副大統領による高官殺害示唆という極めて深刻な発言は、フィリピン経済に対する投資家の信頼を揺るがしかねない。政治的不安定の兆候と見なされれば、外国直接投資(FDI)の減少や、証券市場の低迷を招く可能性がある。特に、インフラ開発やBPO産業など、外国資本への依存度が高い分野への影響が懸念される。過去にも、政治的混乱や治安悪化が経済成長を鈍化させた事例があり、今回の件も同様の懸念を引き起こす。
投資家にとって、このニュースはフィリピンの政治リスクを再評価する契機となる。副大統領という高位の政治家による「殺害」という言葉の使用は、法の支配や政治的安定性に対する懸念を増幅させる。特に、フィリピン市場への新規投資を検討している投資家は、政治的リスクプレミアムの上昇を考慮する必要があるだろう。既存投資家も、ポートフォリオのリバランスを検討する可能性がある。
副大統領の発言は、フィリピン社会における政治的言説の過激化を浮き彫りにする。特に、SNSなどを通じて情報が拡散される現代において、このような発言は国民の間に不安や分断を生む可能性がある。また、地方都市やコミュニティでは、政治指導者の言動が地域社会の規範や道徳観に影響を与えることもあり、今回の件が社会的な規範意識にどのような影響を与えるか注視する必要がある。特に、若年層はSNSでこうした情報を容易に目にし、政治への不信感を募らせることも考えられる。
マニラ首都圏で暮らす市民としては、このようなニュースは日々の生活の不安を増幅させる。物価高や交通渋滞といった現実的な問題に加え、政治指導者間の深刻な対立や脅迫といったニュースは、社会全体の安定性に対する懸念を抱かせる。特に、治安への影響が懸念され、日常生活における安全への意識が高まる可能性がある。公共の安全が脅かされるような状況は、市民の精神的な負担を増大させる。
背景・歴史的文脈
フィリピンでは、政治家による過激な発言や脅迫は、過去にも度々問題となってきた。特に、ドゥテルテ前大統領時代から続く、強硬な姿勢や挑発的な言動は、国民の一部に支持される一方で、社会の分断を深める要因とも指摘されてきた。今回、副大統領であるサラ・ドゥテルテ氏が、現職大統領らに対する殺害を示唆する発言を行ったとされる件は、その延長線上にあるとも考えられる。この発言は、2024年11月に行われたオンライン記者会見でのものとされ、その背景には、マルコス政権との連携における緊張関係や、政治的な駆け引きが存在する可能性が指摘されている。NBIによる「深刻かつ現実的」との評価は、単なる言葉の綾ではなく、政治的影響力を持つ人物による具体的な脅威として受け止められていることを示唆している。
原文ソース
GMA News Philippines