Vietnam Sees 22.5% Rise in New Businesses in H1, Signaling Economic Recovery
Business
2026年7月3日
5
VietnamPlus English

Vietnam Sees 22.5% Rise in New Businesses in H1, Signaling Economic Recovery

AI サマリー

Vietnam's newly established businesses surged by 22.5% to approximately 142,600 in the first six months of 2026, signaling a potential economic rebound. Total trade turnover also saw a significant 27.1% increase, with foreign direct investment (FDI) showing robust growth.

Vietnam's total trade turnover with RCEP member economies reached nearly 503 billion USD in 2025, of which exports accounted for approximately 171 billion USD, up more than 30% compared with 2022, when the agreement came into force. Huynh Xuan Son, Deputy Director of the Da Nang Department of Industry and Trade, said the Halal market has emerged as a strategic destination for Vietnamese exporters amid persistent global economic uncertainties. Serving more than two billion consumers across over 110 countries and territories, the market offers significant opportunities for business expansion. Together with nearly 47,800 enterprises that resumed operations, more than 142,600 companies entered or re-entered the market during the period, marking a 27.6% increase from a year earlier. Overall, total trade turnover in the first six months of 2026 stood at 549.69 billion USD, up 27.1% compared with the same period last year, of which exports rose 21% and imports increased 33.4%. As of June 30, total registered FDI, including newly registered capital, additional capital for existing projects and foreign investors' capital contributions and share purchases, rose 61% year-on-year to 34.65 billion USD. Releasing the second-quarter and first-half socio-economic report, NSO Director General Nguyen Thi Huong said June’s CPI was still up 3.21% from December 2025 and 4.69% higher than a year earlier. The agreement marks a meaningful evolution in the relationship between the two organisations: from project-level collaboration to a long-term strategic framework aimed at bringing international standards to bear on the planning, development, and operation of Sun Group's aviation infrastructure portfolio. According to the Da Nang Statistics Office, total social investment exceeded 50.98 trillion VND (about 1.94 billion USD) in the first six months, up 31.5% from the same period last year. The strong growth reflects investors' confidence in the city's business environment, as well as the effectiveness of its investment promotion policies and efforts to accelerate project implementation. Services remained the key growth driver, expanding 8.89% in the first six months and accounting for 54% of GRDP while contributing 56% of overall growth. Transport recorded the strongest performance with growth of 13.68%, followed by trade at 8.4% and finance at 8.21%. Meanwhile, the real estate sector continued to face difficulties. Private passenger vehicles account for the overwhelming majority, with 369,849 battery electric passenger cars in operation, alongside 3,396 electric trucks and 1,571 electric buses. Supporting industries are no longer simply auxiliary manufacturing sectors. They have become the foundation for enhancing industrial self-reliance, increasing localisation, improving competitiveness and enabling businesses to integrate more deeply into regional and global supply chains. Releasing the country's socio-economic data for the second quarter and the first half of the year on July 3, NSO Director Nguyen Thi Huong said Vietnam sustained positive growth across most industries and sectors despite a challenging international economic environment. Samsung plans to invest an additional 1 billion USD in Vietnam this year as it advances medium- and long-term expansion plans across electronics, display manufacturing and electro-mechanics. Hoang Minh Chien, Deputy Director of the Trade Promotion Agency (Vietrade) under the Ministry of Industry and Trade, said trade promotion activities are undergoing a significant shift from broad-based support to more in-depth assistance, with enhancing business competitiveness at the core. Rather than merely facilitating participation in trade fairs or business matching events, current programmes focus on brand building, market intelligence, access to new technologies and compliance with international standards. With the current trading band of +/- 5%, the ceiling rate applicable for commercial banks during the day is 26,463 VND/USD, and the floor rate 23,943 VND/USD. According to the Department of Finance, as of May 31, the city had nearly 21,000 active FDI projects worth over 143.3 billion USD, remaining Vietnam’s leading FDI destination. In the first half of 2026, FDI reached over 6.8 billion USD. The police determined that, from 2024, this ring has completed 141 shipments, smuggling more than 28,000 diamonds of various types from Hong Kong (China) into Vietnam for sale. Ho Chi Minh City is entering a new phase of development with the ambition of becoming a green, modern and smart global metropolis, in line with the spirit of the Politburo's Resolution No. 09 on building and developing the city in a new era. Toyota Vietnam (TMV) posted a 12% month-on-month increase in vehicle sales in June, with hybrid deliveries surging 89%, reflecting growing demand for fuel-efficient and lower-emission vehicles. Construction of the new facility, located at the Tam Hiep Port Logistics and Industrial Park in the Chu Lai Open Economic Zone, began in July 2025. Equipped with advanced manufacturing technologies, it is designed to produce cleaning equipment that meets international standards for quality, safety and sustainability. The conclusion of the negotiations will mark the beginning of a new phase of cooperation, laying a solid foundation for the promotion of trade and investment between the two sides, while also expanding collaboration in areas of mutual interest. Accordingly, the price of E5 RON92 petrol is capped at 19,730 VND (0.75 USD) per litre, down 1,055 VND, while E10 RON95-III is priced at no more than 20,415 VND per litre, down 788 VND. According to the Vietnam National Authority of Tourism, the country welcomed around 10.6 million international visitors in the first five months of 2026, up nearly 15% year on year and the highest figure recorded in many years. Singapore remained one of Vietnam’s fastest-growing source markets during the period. Copyright, VietnamPlus, Vietnam News Agency (VNA) Editor-in-chief, Mr. Tran Tien Duan.

多角的分析

経済的影響

ベトナム経済は、世界的なインフレ圧力や地政学リスクが続く中でも、堅調な回復軌道に乗っていることを示唆している。特に、新規設立企業の増加と貿易額の拡大は、国内需要の回復と輸出競争力の維持・向上を示唆している。FDIの増加は、ベトナムの製造業ハブとしての魅力が依然として高く、特にアジア太平洋地域におけるサプライチェーン再編の恩恵を受けていることを示している。サービス業の成長は、国内消費の活発化と観光客の回復によるものと考えられる。一方で、不動産セクターの低迷は、一部のセクターにおける構造的な課題を示唆しており、今後の政策対応が注目される。

投資家心理

ベトナム経済の回復基調とFDIの増加は、投資家にとって魅力的なシグナルである。特に、製造業、テクノロジー、再生可能エネルギー分野への投資機会が増加していると考えられる。RCEPのような自由貿易協定の活用は、輸出志向型企業にとって事業拡大の追い風となる。しかし、インフレ圧力や為替レートの変動リスク、そして不動産セクターの不確実性には注意が必要である。ベトナム政府による投資環境の改善努力は継続しており、長期的な視点での投資は引き続き有望であると見られる。

社会的影響

新規企業の設立増加は、雇用機会の創出と国民の所得向上に繋がる可能性があり、社会全体の活力を高める要因となる。サービス業の好調は、人々の生活水準の向上や消費意欲の活発化を示唆している。一方で、インフレによる生活必需品価格の上昇は、特に低所得者層の家計を圧迫する可能性がある。また、不動産セクターの低迷は、関連産業の雇用や建設業界に影響を与える可能性も否定できない。ベトナム政府が掲げる「グリーン、モダン、スマートなグローバル大都市」を目指すホーチミン市の開発計画は、都市インフラの整備や生活環境の向上に繋がる一方、都市部への人口集中や格差拡大といった課題も生じうる。

市民の声

国民生活への直接的な影響としては、新規企業設立の増加が雇用機会の増加に繋がる点が挙げられる。特に若年層にとっては、多様な職種へのアクセスが広がる可能性がある。また、貿易額の増加は、より多様な商品が市場に流通することを示唆し、消費者の選択肢を広げる可能性がある。しかし、インフレ率の上昇は、食料品や日用品の価格上昇を通じて、家計に負担をかける。特に地方や低所得層にとっては、生活費の増加が懸念される。ガソリン価格の引き下げは、運輸コストの抑制に繋がり、間接的に物価上昇の緩和に貢献する可能性がある。

背景・歴史的文脈

ベトナムは1986年のドイモイ(刷新)政策以降、計画経済から市場経済への移行を進め、外国からの投資誘致と輸出主導型の経済成長を追求してきた。一党体制を維持しつつ、経済の自由化を進めることで、目覚ましい経済成長を遂げた。近年は、米中貿易摩擦や地政学的な緊張の高まりを受け、サプライチェーンの分散化を目指す動きの中で、製造業の移転先として注目度を高めている。地域的な包括的経済連携(RCEP)への参加は、多角的な貿易関係の構築と経済圏への統合を深める戦略の一環である。ホーチミン市の開発計画は、ベトナムの主要都市における近代化と国際競争力強化を目指す長期的な国家戦略の一部である。

原文ソース

VietnamPlus English

原文を読む