Prosecutors proved criminal intent in VP kill threat, ex-SC justice says
Politics
2026年7月13日
5
Philstar Nation

Prosecutors proved criminal intent in VP kill threat, ex-SC justice says

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A former Supreme Court justice stated his legal opinion that prosecutors have established criminal intent behind the Vice President's remarks suggesting assassination. He pointed to witness testimonies and the reception of the threat as grounds for proving intent.

MANILA, Philippines — Former Supreme Court associate justice Adolfo Azcuna is standing firm on his legal opinion that prosecutors have established the criminal intent behind Vice President Sara Duterte’s assassination remarks. After stating that the House prosecution panel “succeeded” in proving the grave threat charge during the ongoing Senate impeachment trial, the retired magistrate pushed back against criticism over the weekend and corrected misconceptions about his background that circulated online. “I am not the sitting chancellor of the Philippine Judicial Academy. I retired from that position in 2021. Neither am I a grandmaster in chess. I am only a chess lover and enthusiast although sometimes capable of being a worthy adversary,” he said. In an interview with Bilyonaryo News Channel last week, Azcuna noted that the criminal intent of Duterte’s November 2024 remarks – where she claimed to have contracted an assassin to kill the President, the First Lady and the House speaker if she were killed – had been established. He reiterated in his statement that this was achieved when Senator-judge Alan Peter Cayetano questioned National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) special agent John Mark Calilung, who testified that authorities assessed the seriousness of the threat based on Duterte’s capability to carry it out. “It is my understanding of case law that how the threat was received by the persons threatened, including naturally by those mandated to protect them, is one of the ways of judging the intent behind the threat,” he said. However, Azcuna emphasized that this does not automatically equate to a guilty verdict, only that the prosecution has effectively passed the ball to the Vice President’s camp. House prosecutor and ML party-list Rep. Leila de Lima maintained that the defense failed to break their witness Calilung, as well as disprove the authenticity of the Vice President’s death threat video. “Nothing was ever broken in any part of agent Calilung’s testimony under the crucibles or the test of cross-examination, because the cross-examination is a stress test. And therefore if the evidence remains stellar, then it only shows the case became even stronger,” she told reporters over the weekend. “As far as we are concerned, there is no more debate there. No less than the defense panel have shown that the video is authentic. Why did they show portions of the same video if they didn’t believe it was authentic?” De Lima added. NBI regional director Jeremy Lotoc, who will take the witness stand today, is expected to corroborate and uphold Calilung’s investigation findings on Duterte’s kill threat against the First Family, De Lima said. “He will both be corroborating as well as adding certain aspects to the testimony of Agent Calilung, most especially on the investigation and the results, which became the basis and also conclusion on why they forwarded the case to the Department of Justice,” she explained. Capt. Belinda Bello, executive director of the House of Representatives’ legislative security bureau, is also expected to take the witness stand this week as she was among those who discussed Duterte’s chief of staff Zuleika Lopez’s possible imprisonment and eventual transfer to the Correctional Institution for Women, which triggered the Vice President’s rant. — Delon Porcalla

多角的分析

経済的影響

本件は直接的な経済的影響は限定的だが、副大統領という要職にある人物の言動が法的な裁きを受ける状況は、フィリピンの政治的安定性に対する懸念を投資家やビジネス界に抱かせる可能性がある。特に、司法の独立性や法治主義の運用が注目される中で、このような事例は国内の投資環境や国際的な評価に間接的な影響を与えうる。

投資家心理

投資家にとって、政治的リスクは常に重要な判断材料となる。副大統領の言動が法的な問題に発展する可能性は、フィリピンの政治的安定性に対する不確実性を高める。これは、直接的な投資判断に影響を与えるだけでなく、フィリピン市場全体へのセンチメントにも影響を及ぼす可能性がある。特に、国内の法制度や司法の公平性に対する信頼が揺らぐような事象は、長期的な投資判断においてネガティブな要因となりうる。

社会的影響

副大統領による「暗殺示唆」発言は、フィリピン社会における政治的言説の過熱ぶりと、それが法的な問題に発展する可能性を示唆している。一般市民にとっては、政治指導者の言動が社会に与える影響、特に安全保障や法治主義に対する懸念が浮き彫りになる。また、このような裁判プロセスが長期化することは、国民の政治への関心を高める一方で、分断を深める可能性も否定できない。

市民の声

市民にとっては、副大統領のような高位の政治家が法的な追及を受ける状況は、司法の独立性や権力者の説明責任が問われる重要な機会となる。しかし、同時に、このような政治的対立が長引くことで、国民生活の安定や経済への影響を懸念する声も上がるだろう。特に、発言の背景にあるとされる「大統領や議長への懸念」が、市民の安全や社会秩序への不安に繋がる可能性もある。

背景・歴史的文脈

フィリピンでは、過去にも政治家や公職者の言動が法的な問題に発展する事例が複数存在する。特に、大統領や副大統領といった最高位の政治家に関する訴訟や弾劾裁判は、国民の関心を集め、政治的緊張を高める傾向がある。今回の副大統領の発言は、2024年11月に大統領とその家族に対する発言として報じられ、その「暗殺示唆」とも取れる内容が波紋を広げた。これが、下院による告発、そして上院での弾劾裁判へと発展した経緯がある。元最高裁判事の法的見解は、この裁判の行方を占う上で重要な指標となる。

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