US Presses Vietnam on Trade and Security with Three Investigations
Economy
2026年7月16日
5
BBC Vietnamese
Relations
🇻🇳Vietnam🇨🇳China🇺🇸United States

US Presses Vietnam on Trade and Security with Three Investigations

AI サマリー

Vietnam faces a triple threat in trade talks with the US, as Washington pursues investigations into intellectual property rights, forced labor, and industrial overcapacity. The US demands a reduction in its trade deficit and removal of non-tariff barriers, putting Hanoi in a difficult position.

Vietnam is currently navigating a complex trade negotiation with the United States, facing simultaneous investigations from Washington across three critical fronts: intellectual property rights, forced labor, and industrial overcapacity. According to reports, Vietnamese officials are in Washington for a new round of talks, which are complicated by these ongoing US inquiries. The US delegation, often led by Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, is focused on demands for Hanoi to lower non-tariff barriers, bolster intellectual property protection, and collaborate on economic security and export controls. Key disagreements also revolve around rules of origin and preventing the transshipment of Chinese goods through Vietnam. US officials have repeatedly cited the growing trade deficit with Vietnam as a reason for exerting pressure. Data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) indicated that the US goods trade deficit with Vietnam reached approximately $178 billion in 2025. In a meeting in March 2025, Greer emphasized Vietnam's need for "stronger solutions to open its market and improve the bilateral trade balance." Greer has publicly referred to the overall US global trade deficit of $1.2 trillion as "unsustainable and unacceptable," with a key objective under the Trump administration being to reduce this deficit. He has also highlighted instances of "outright illegal shipping" where goods are sent to Vietnam and relabeled as "Made in Vietnam." US authorities have frequently accused Vietnam of being used as a transit point for Chinese products destined for the US market. In 2025, Washington threatened to impose tariffs of up to 40% on goods that were illegally transshipped through Vietnam. In response, the Vietnamese Ministry of Industry and Trade stated in early July 2025 that it would issue a new decree to "further stipulate penalties for origin fraud." However, the progress made in combating Chinese transshipment through Vietnam remains unclear. On the issue of intellectual property violations, the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) placed Vietnam on its "priority foreign country" list in April 2026, the most severe designation under Section 182 of the US Trade Act. This was the first time in 13 years a country had received this designation. Vietnam has attempted to address these concerns by closing down infringing websites and increasing efforts against counterfeit goods and the use of pirated software during a campaign from May to July. The three investigations by the US add significant pressure to the ongoing trade talks. The latest is concerning intellectual property rights, officially announced on May 29, 2026, under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974. The second investigation, initiated on March 12, 2026, pertains to forced labor. The third, launched on March 11, 2026, examines concerns about industrial overcapacity, investigating whether Vietnam creates or maintains such conditions in certain industries, thereby distorting trade and harming US businesses. To date, only the forced labor investigation has yielded a preliminary finding. A report released on June 2, 2026, stated that Vietnam had not effectively issued or enforced a ban on importing goods produced by forced labor. The USTR proposed an additional 12.5% tariff and opened a public comment period before a final decision. In response, Vietnamese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Pham Thu Hang stated two days later that the US findings "do not accurately reflect the reality and Vietnam's efforts to prevent and minimize forced labor," and affirmed the country's adherence to international labor standards. Source: BBC Vietnamese

多角的分析

経済的影響

ベトナム経済は輸出に大きく依存しており、米国の貿易政策の変更は直接的な打撃となり得る。特に、知的財産権や強制労働に関する調査は、ベトナムの製造業、特にアパレルや電子機器分野のサプライチェーンに混乱をもたらす可能性がある。生産能力過剰の調査は、ベトナムの主要産業における過剰生産とそれが国際市場に与える影響を米国が問題視していることを示唆しており、将来的な輸出制限や価格圧力につながる懸念がある。

投資家心理

米国の複数調査は、ベトナムへの投資リスクを高める要因となる。知的財産権侵害への懸念は、技術移転やライセンス供与を伴う投資に影響を与え、強制労働の指摘は、サプライチェーンの倫理的側面を重視する投資家にとって懸念材料となる。生産能力過剰の調査は、過剰供給による価格下落リスクを示唆し、ベトナムを拠点とする製造業への投資判断に慎重さを促す可能性がある。これらの要因は、外国直接投資(FDI)の流れに影響を与え、特に米国との関係が深い企業は、リスク分散を検討する可能性がある。

社会的影響

強制労働に関する調査は、ベトナム国内の労働環境に光を当てる。もし調査で問題が確認されれば、労働者の権利保護、労働条件の改善、そして児童労働や強制労働の根絶に向けた国内法や執行体制の強化が求められることになる。これは、ベトナム社会における労働者の尊厳と人権に関わる重要な課題であり、国際社会からの監視と国内の市民社会からの圧力が高まる可能性がある。また、知的財産権侵害の取り締まり強化は、模倣品市場に依存する一部の事業者や消費者に影響を与える可能性がある。

市民の声

ベトナム市民、特に輸出関連産業で働く人々は、米国の調査結果や交渉の行方によって直接的な影響を受ける可能性がある。強制労働の指摘が事実であれば、労働者の権利保護が強化される一方で、企業側には生産コストの増加や生産体制の見直しが迫られるかもしれない。また、米国の要求に応じた規制強化は、日用品の価格上昇につながる可能性も否定できない。一方、知的財産権保護の強化は、模倣品に頼るビジネスモデルからの転換を促し、より革新的な製品やサービスへのシフトを求める声が高まるかもしれない。

背景・歴史的文脈

ベトナムと米国の関係は、ベトナム戦争終結後、長らく断絶していたが、1995年の国交正常化以降、急速に接近した。特に近年、ベトナムは中国との関係悪化を背景に、米国との経済・安全保障協力を強化してきた。しかし、米国はベトナムとの貿易赤字の拡大を問題視し、ドナルド・トランプ政権下で強硬な姿勢を強めた。2025年以降、米国はベトナムに対し、知的財産権侵害、強制労働、そして中国製品の迂回輸出といった問題で圧力を強めており、これらが現在の貿易交渉の背景となっている。

原文ソース

BBC Vietnamese

原文を読む