Super Typhoon Bavi to Enter PAR; Landfall Unlikely, Northern Luzon May Feel Winds

Super Typhoon Bavi is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) in the wee hours of Wednesday, July 8, while remaining unlikely to make landfall in the country. In its 5 p.m. advisory on Tuesday, July 7, state weather bureau PAGASA said Bavi was located more than 1,705 kilometers east of Central Luzon and continued moving west-northwestward at 25 kilometers per hour. Once it enters PAR, Bavi is expected to move over the northern portion of the Philippine Sea in a west-northwestward to northwestward direction from Wednesday to Friday. Bavi is expected to exit PAR on Saturday morning and move toward the northern part of Taiwan. “Kung pagbabasehan natin itong latest track at 'yung mga nagdaang track, maliit pa rin po ang tyansa na ito ay tatama sa ating kalupaan or magla-landfall,” weather specialist Benison Estareja said. (Based on our latest track and previous tracks, the chance of Bavi making landfall in the country remains low.) However, Bavi's 800-kilometer radius may bring strong winds to parts of Northern Luzon, particularly Batanes and the provinces of Cagayan, where Wind Signals No. 2 and 3 may be raised. PAGASA said it is also not ruling out the possibility of raising Wind Signal No. 1 in other areas of Northern Luzon, including Ilocos Norte, Apayao, Kalinga, Isabela and the northernmost part of Aurora. PAGASA said Bavi slightly strengthened as it continued approaching PAR, packing maximum sustained winds of 185 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 230 kph. Bavi will be assigned the local name "Inday" once it enters PAR. “Base po sa latest animation ng PAGASA, wala namang direktang epekto itong si Bagyong Bavi sa alinmang panig ng ating bansa,” Estareja said. (Based on PAGASA's latest animation, Super Typhoon Bavi has no direct effects on any part of the country.) Bavi is also starting to enhance the habagat, or southwest monsoon, over the western section of Mindanao. PAGASA said this may bring a high chance of heavy rainfall over Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro Autonomous Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, Misamis Occidental and Lanao del Norte. “Kaya mag-ingat po sa minsang malalakas na ulan na posible magdulat ng flash floods or landslides,” Estareja said. (So be cautious of occasional heavy rains that may cause flash floods or landslides.) The rest of Luzon, Visayas and western Mindanao may also experience moderately strong winds and occasional rains over the next few days due to the enhanced habagat once Bavi enters PAR. Inday will be the second tropical cyclone to enter PAR in July and the ninth in 2026.