VP Team Told: Prove 'Oplan Romanov' Ops
Politics
2026年7月9日
5
BusinessWorld Nation

VP Team Told: Prove 'Oplan Romanov' Ops

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The Philippine Presidential Palace has challenged Vice President Sara Duterte-Carpio's camp to present evidence supporting its claim of an alleged plot dubbed 'Oplan Romanov.' The Palace stated that the burden of proof lies with those making the accusation, especially after the camp cited the operation during impeachment proceedings.

The Philippine Presidential Palace has strongly challenged the camp of Vice President Sara Duterte-Carpio to present evidence proving the existence of an alleged plot dubbed “Oplan Romanov.” Palace Press Officer Clarissa A. Castro stated that the burden of proof lies with the camp that raised the allegation, especially after it was cited during impeachment proceedings. Ms. Castro pointed out that the Executive branch cannot investigate any claims without supporting information from those making the accusations. She added that the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) had previously sent a letter to Vice President Duterte seeking details about alleged threats against her and her family, but allegedly received no response. “It is no one’s fault if there is no evidence of the existence of the so-called Oplan Romanov, because the Vice-President herself, who made the claim, has not proven it,” Ms. Castro said in Filipino. During the impeachment trial, the defense for Vice President Duterte argued that her remarks were made not in her capacity as Vice President but as a wife, mother, daughter, and sister who believed her family faced real threats under “Operation Romanov.” However, Ms. Castro rejected this argument, stating that public office does not exempt anyone from accountability. “A threat is a threat, no matter who you are,” she said, adding that threatening the President cannot be justified by one’s personal circumstances. The alleged “Oplan Romanov” has become a point of contention in the impeachment trial after the defense cited it to explain Vice President Duterte’s remarks last year that she had instructed someone to kill President Marcos, First Lady Maria Louise Araneta-Marcos, and former House Speaker Martin G. Romualdez should she herself be killed. Prosecutors argue these statements constituted grave threats, a claim the defense disputes. Separately, the House prosecution defended the testimony of NBI senior agent John Mark Sta. Ana Calilung, stating he properly authenticated a video recording presented during the trial. San Juan Rep. and House prosecutor Ysabel Maria J. Zamora said Mr. Calilung’s testimony was intended to establish the authenticity of the video before it could be formally presented before the impeachment court. Furthermore, House prosecutor Benjamin S. Tolosa, Jr. said that the reported visit of Vice President Duterte’s Chief of Staff Zuleika T. Lopez to the Senate would not affect the case, adding that it still intends to present her as one of its witnesses in the impeachment trial. The prosecution has already asked the impeachment court to subpoena Ms. Lopez as a witness, and its plans to present her remain unchanged. On Thursday, a progressive alliance urged the Senate impeachment court to allow only senator-judges who fully participated in Vice President Duterte’s trial to vote on the verdict. The group expressed concern that any move allowing absent senators to vote would undermine the fairness and credibility of the proceedings. Bagong Alyansang Makabayan raised concerns over the possibility that Senators Jose “Jinggoy” P. Ejercito Estrada, Jr., Rodante D. Marcoleta, and Ronald “Bato” M. dela Rosa could still vote on the verdict despite not fully participating in the trial. A conviction would still require at least 16 votes from senator-judges. Senate impeachment court presiding officer Francis “Chiz” G. Escudero has consistently maintained that conviction would require at least two-thirds, or 16 votes, of the senator-judges. Senator Estrada is detained on non-bailable plunder charges linked to an alleged flood control anomaly, while Senator Marcoleta remains under medical observation at the Philippine National Police General Hospital pending his transfer to jail after his arrest on a separate non-bailable plunder charge. Senator dela Rosa, meanwhile, remains at large following an International Criminal Court (ICC) arrest warrant over alleged crimes against humanity linked to the Duterte administration’s war on drugs.

多角的分析

経済的影響

本件は直接的な経済活動への影響は限定的だが、政治的不安定さが増すことは、国内および海外からの投資意欲を減退させる可能性がある。特に、大統領と副大統領の間の権力闘争が激化すれば、経済政策の予測可能性が低下し、ビジネス環境に悪影響を及ぼすことが懸念される。過去のフィリピンにおける政治的混乱期には、外国直接投資(FDI)の鈍化や通貨ペソの下落が見られた事例がある。

投資家心理

投資家にとって、政権内の亀裂は重大な懸念材料となる。特に、副大統領が自身の安全保障上の懸念を理由に大統領への脅迫とも取れる発言をしたという事実は、法の支配や政治的安定性に対する疑問を投げかける。これにより、フィリピン市場への投資リスクが高まり、一部の投資家は様子見姿勢を強めるか、ポートフォリオを縮小する可能性がある。

社会的影響

「オプラン・ロマノフ」という陰謀論の存在は、国民の間で不信感や不安を煽る可能性がある。特に、家族への脅威を理由とした発言が正当化されるという主張は、公職者の行動規範や、公的な場での発言の責任について、社会的な議論を提起する。また、一部の議員が裁判に十分に臨席していないにもかかわらず、評決に影響を与えうるという事実は、司法プロセスの公平性に対する市民の信頼を損なう。

市民の声

「オプラン・ロマノフ」という言葉は、多くのフィリピン市民にとって、政治的な陰謀や危険な状況を連想させる。副大統領が自身の安全を理由に、大統領への殺害を示唆するような発言をしたという事実は、市民に衝撃を与え、政権内の緊張関係を肌で感じさせる。また、弾劾裁判のプロセスにおける一部議員の欠席や、証拠提示の要求といった一連の展開は、市民が政治や司法の公正さに疑問を抱く原因となる可能性がある。

背景・歴史的文脈

フィリピンでは、過去にも大統領と副大統領の間で政治的な緊張が生じることがあった。特に、大統領と副大統領が異なる政党から選出された場合、権力基盤や政策遂行を巡る対立が表面化しやすい。デュテルテ副大統領は、前大統領ドゥテルテ氏の娘であり、現政権とは異なる政治的背景を持つ。今回、副大統領が自身の家族への脅威を理由に、大統領への殺害を示唆するような発言をしたとされる事案は、弾劾裁判という公の場で争点となり、両者の関係性の悪化と、政治的権力闘争の激化を示唆している。

原文ソース

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