
Bangkok Governor Chadchart Faces 'Curse' of Second Term
Bangkok Governor Chadchart, who won a landslide victory, faces the 'curse' of second-term governors historically failing to complete their terms. Factors include political interference, public expectations, and conflicts with interest groups. Chadchart aims to break this historical challenge with a mantra of 'work, work, work.'
In the Bangkok gubernatorial election, Chadchart Sittipunt secured an overwhelming victory, reflecting his high approval ratings accumulated over the past four years. He becomes the fourth governor in Bangkok's history to serve a second term. However, behind this achievement lies the 'curse' of second-term governors historically failing to complete their mandates. The previous three governors who served two terms—Gen. Chamlong Srimuang, Ap-irak Kosayodhin, and M.R. Sukhumbhand Paribatra—all resigned before their terms ended due to political issues or scandals. Chamlong stepped down in 1992 to enter national politics with the Palang Dharma Party. Ap-irak resigned just two months after his second election win in 2008, following an accusation by the National Anti-Corruption Commission (NACC) regarding a corruption case in the procurement of fire engines and boats, which caused damage to the state. Although the law at the time did not require him to step down, Ap-irak stated he wanted to set a new standard for Thai politics and was later cleared of the charges in court. M.R. Sukhumbhand Paribatra won his first term in 2009 after Ap-irak's resignation, continuing the work with support from the Democrat Party. He secured his second term in 2013, narrowly defeating his opponent from the Pheu Thai Party with the slogan 'If you don't choose us, they will surely come.' However, in August 2016, then-head of the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO), Gen. Prayut Chan-o-cha, used Article 44 of the interim constitution to temporarily suspend M.R. Sukhumbhand from his duties pending an investigation into corruption complaints. In October of the same year, an order was issued for his removal from the position of Bangkok Governor. Whether the political 'curse' of the second term for Bangkok governors will truly exist remains uncertain. However, the events that have transpired all have their own reasons and differing factors. The first element influencing a governor's tenure is the rising public expectation. If long-standing issues cannot be resolved, it can lead to immense pressure, potentially forcing difficult decisions. Another factor contributing to the short tenure of second-term governors is interference from national politics. The position of governor for the capital city often becomes a political target, affected by national political conflicts, which can sometimes lead to pressure for power shifts or the use of legal mechanisms. The final aspect involves alliances and support bases. Serving longer in office can lead to accumulated conflicts with interest groups or opposing factions, resulting in intensified scrutiny and subsequent changes. Chadchart stated during his victory announcement that he felt the weight of the people's high expectations. He acknowledged that the achievements of the past four years represent the minimum standard and that performance must now exceed this. He reiterated his commitment with the key phrase 'work, work, work' to repay the trust placed in him and address the people's needs. Therefore, Chadchart's second term as Bangkok Governor is of great interest. The election results demonstrate his popularity and the confidence people have in him as the hope for Bangkok residents. Concurrently, during the campaign, he faced various attacks and discrediting efforts, and several matters were submitted for review by independent organizations. This makes the future of Chadchart's second term as governor a subject of close observation: will he repeat the historical curse, or will he be the first to break it? Source: INN News
多角的分析
チャッチャート氏の再選は、バンコクのインフラ開発や都市計画における継続性を意味する。彼の公約である交通渋滞緩和や公共交通機関の改善は、経済活動の効率化に繋がり、企業活動や市民の生産性向上に寄与する可能性がある。しかし、過去の知事の任期満了という前例は、政策実行における政治的リスクを示唆しており、大規模インフラ投資においては、その安定性が投資家にとって懸念材料となりうる。
チャッチャート氏の再選は、バンコクにおける政策の継続性という点で、投資家にとって一定の安心材料となる。特に、交通インフラや都市開発分野への投資は、彼の公約と合致する可能性が高い。しかし、過去の知事が任期を全うできなかった歴史は、政治的リスクの存在を投資家に意識させる。今後の政治情勢や独立機関による調査の動向が、投資判断に影響を与える可能性がある。
バンコク市民は、チャッチャート氏の率直なコミュニケーションスタイルと、具体的な問題解決への期待から、彼に2期目の信任を与えた。しかし、過去の知事の事例が示すように、都政運営には政治的圧力や利害関係者との摩擦がつきものである。市民の期待に応えつつ、これらの課題をいかに乗り越えるかが、チャッチャート氏の真価を問うことになる。特に、交通渋滞の緩和や公衆衛生の向上といった、市民生活に直結する課題への取り組みが注目される。
バンコク市民は、チャッチャート氏の2期目続投を、これまでの実績と今後の期待の表れとして捉えている。しかし、過去の2期目知事が任期を全うできなかった歴史は、市民の間にも不安を残している。特に、交通渋滞の緩和、公共サービスの質向上、そして政治的安定が、市民がチャッチャート氏に求める重要な課題となる。市民は、彼がこれらの期待に応え、政治的混乱なく都政を運営できるかに注目している。
背景・歴史的文脈
バンコク都知事の任期満了前の辞任は、タイの政治史において繰り返されてきた現象である。1975年の都知事公選制導入以来、特に2期目を目指した知事には、政治的圧力や不祥事がつきまとってきた。チャムロン・シーマモク氏は1992年に政界再編のため辞任、アピラック・コーソートヨティン氏は2008年に汚職疑惑で辞任、スックムパン・パリパット氏は2016年に軍事政権下で職務停止・解任という経緯を辿った。これらの事例は、バンコク都知事というポストが、中央政界の権力闘争や政治的駆け引きの対象となりやすい構造を示唆している。
原文ソース
INN News