Sara Duterte impeachment trial: 'Admission against interest' clashes with 'no threat' defense
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2026年7月15日
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GMA News Philippines
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Sara Duterte impeachment trial: 'Admission against interest' clashes with 'no threat' defense

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In the impeachment trial of Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte, her statements suggesting a presidential assassination plot were labeled 'admissions against interest,' while the defense argued they were merely responses to questions, not threats. The trial also focused on her alleged capability to carry out such threats.

Vice President Sara Duterte’s statements that she ordered a kill job on President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr., First Lady Liza Marcos and former Speaker and Leyte Rep. Martin Romualdez, aside from wanting to cut the head of the Chief Executive, are all admissions against her interest, private prosecutor Benjamin Tolosa Jr. said on Day 5 of the impeachment trial. "What is consistent here is the fact that the Vice President never denied her statements in the November 2024 press conference and it was not denied in the answer and even after three days when she was asked about this, she had an opportunity to clarify her statement and there is no agreement to kill, sabihin niyang hindi biro biro lang ito, she did not take it back,” Tolosa Jr. said in a press conference. "She did not deny it, and she doubled down by trying to justify her statement, explaining or posing the question: Is revenge from the grave a criminal act? She never took it back that she already hired a hitman despite the repeated opportunities to do so. That kind of evidence is called admission against interest," Tolosa added. Jeremy Lotoc, NBI regional director for the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) and former chief of the NBI Cybercrime Division, said the Vice President betrayed public trust when she threatened to have President Marcos Jr., First Lady, and former House Speaker Romualdez killed. "Freedom of speech protects lawful expression. It does not protect utterances that satisfy the elements of a criminal offense such as this," Lotoc said. "Should we allow that kind of argument to become the norm in society? What would prevent anyone else from doing the same? Imagine the chaos and anarchy," Lotoc added. Private prosecutor Lorna Kapunan also scored the defense for pounding on the criminal complaints against the Vice President over her 2024 statements pending before the Justice department, saying this is just meant to confuse everybody rather than defend the Vice President from impeachment allegations. "There is a deliberate attempt to misinform the viewing public. This is not a criminal case. We are talking about the fitness of a public official who makes statements like that, who has shown her emotional instability, who has shown how she can and is capable of carrying out her threats,” Kapunan said. Senator-judge Panfilo Lacson asked whether Lotoc had the impression that the supposed "Oplan Romanov" threat was directed at the Vice President. The NBI official said he believes it referred to an alleged assassination plot against President Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. and the First Family—not Vice President Sara Duterte. Senator-judge Alan Peter Cayetano cautioned against concluding that Mayor Baste Duterte, who reportedly first mentioned Oplan Romanov publicly, had threatened the First Family. Senator-judge Robin Padilla asked about Lotoc’s professional background, credentials, and cases filed against him. The witness maintained that it is entirely normal for law enforcement officers to face cases due to the nature of their job. Senate President Sherwin Gatchalian asked Lotoc whether he believes the Vice President can carry out the alleged threat against the President and his family. The witness answered in the affirmative, saying it’s because she is the second-highest government official and the daughter of someone who faces charges of crimes against humanity for alleged extrajudicial killings. The impeachment court excused Lotoc past 7 p.m. The oral arguments on the House prosecution panel's request to subpoena the tax and bank records of Vice President Sara Duterte, her husband Manases Carpio, and businesses linked to them shall be held on Wednesday. Under the revised rules, the prosecution and defense would each have 15 minutes to present their arguments and 10 minutes for rebuttal. The Senator-Judges, meanwhile, were given 10 minutes each to explain whether the motion should be granted. Gatchalian joined Cayetano's motion to hold a caucus after the oral arguments on Wednesday. The defense team of Vice President Sara Duterte argued that her assertion that she had spoken with someone to kill the President was just a response to a question and not a threat. Mark Vinluan, one of Duterte’s lawyers, touted her 80% Bar exam score during her ongoing impeachment trial in the Senate. The defense criticized the typographical errors in the affidavit of investigation of the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) into the second-highest official’s threats to President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. anew, questioning whether it constituted violations of due process. Atty. Michael Poa, one of Duterte’s legal counsel, welcomed the prosecution’s decision not to present Office of the Vice President (OVP) chief of staff Zuleika Lopez, and Captain Belinda Bello as witnesses in Duterte’s impeachment trial. Poa said they were surprised by the move. —LDF, GMA News

多角的分析

経済的影響

副大統領の発言が直接的な経済政策に言及していないため、短期的な市場への影響は限定的と考えられる。しかし、政治的不安定さが増すシナリオは、国内および海外からの投資意欲を減退させ、フィリピン・ペソの価値に下落圧力をかける可能性がある。特に、大統領と副大統領の間の深刻な対立は、経済政策の予測可能性を低下させ、ビジネス環境に不確実性をもたらす。

投資家心理

投資家は、フィリピンの政治的安定性を注視するだろう。副大統領の発言は、政権内の亀裂を示唆しており、これが長期化すれば、政策決定の遅延や混乱を招き、投資リスクを高める可能性がある。特に、外国直接投資(FDI)は、政治的リスクの高い地域への投資を避ける傾向があるため、影響を受ける可能性がある。

社会的影響

副大統領の発言は、国民の間に不安と不信感を生じさせている。特に、公職者が暴力的な言葉遣いをすることは、社会規範の低下を招き、市民の安全への懸念を高める。このような発言が繰り返されると、政治への信頼が損なわれ、社会的な分断を深める可能性がある。また、地方自治体やコミュニティレベルでの政治的緊張を高めることも懸念される。

市民の声

市民は、大統領と副大統領という国家のトップが深刻な対立状態にあることに、強い不安を感じている。特に、治安の悪化や政治的混乱を懸念する声が多い。日々の生活への直接的な影響はまだ見られないものの、将来的な経済の停滞や社会不安の増大を危惧する市民は少なくない。SNS上では、この件に関する様々な意見が飛び交い、議論が活発化している。

背景・歴史的文脈

フィリピンでは、政治的な対立や権力闘争が過去にも頻繁に発生しており、弾劾裁判も珍しくない。2022年の大統領選挙では、フェルディナンド・マルコス・ジュニア氏と、その副大統領候補であったサラ・ドゥテルテ氏(当時の大統領ロドリゴ・ドゥテルテ氏の娘)が当選した。しかし、選挙後、両者の関係には亀裂が生じていると報じられており、今回の弾劾裁判はその緊張関係の表れと見られている。特に、ロドリゴ・ドゥテルテ前大統領の強権的な統治スタイルと、現政権の政策運営との間にも、微妙な距離感が指摘されている。

原文ソース

GMA News Philippines

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