Red River Delta Drives H1 Growth, Exports and Industry Show Strength
Economy
2026年7月8日
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Red River Delta Drives H1 Growth, Exports and Industry Show Strength

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Vietnam's economy achieved robust growth in the first half of the year, driven by the Red River Delta region. Key exports like electronics and garments performed strongly, with manufacturing maintaining its recovery as a pillar of economic expansion.

The city's gross regional domestic product (GRDP) expanded 8.55% in the first half of the year, the highest six-month growth rate in a decade. However, officials said the city must grow by more than 11% in the third quarter and about 12% in the fourth quarter to meet its annual target. Key export categories, including electronics, computers, machinery, garments, wooden furniture, and farm produce, all posted vigorous gains, underscoring that Vietnamese firms are seizing reviving orders across major destinations. The strongest first-half industrial growth since 2019 not only underscores the sector's solid recovery but also provides a firm foundation for Vietnam to sustain robust economic growth throughout 2026. With manufacturing continuing to lead, supported by improving demand, employment and production capacity, industry is expected to remain a key pillar of economic expansion. Addressing the conference, which took place as Vietnam participated in INNOPROM with a national pavilion for the first time, Vietnamese Consul General Nguyen Mai Huong praised Quang Ninh’s growing cooperation with Sverdlovsk, long recognised as one of Russia’s major industrial centres. As part of the roadshow, in July, a pilot event is set to be held in Shanghai to introduce Vietnamese specialty coffee to the professional coffee community, gauge market interest and lay the groundwork for future trade promotion activities. Demand for Korean food in Vietnam has continued to grow rapidly alongside the popularity of the Korean Wave, or Hallyu, making the country a strategic market in the RoK's plan to expand agricultural and food exports to ASEAN, the RoK's Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs said. The State Bank of Vietnam set the daily reference exchange rate at 25,206 VND/USD on July 8, up 4 VND from the previous day. The debut affirms the city’s push to overhaul investment promotion towards a more modern, transparent and technology-led model that uses digital tools and artificial intelligence to deliver sharper support for investors. The financing will support HDBank’s medium- to long-term lending, with at least 40% of ADB’s financing directed to WMSMEs to provide more opportunities for women business owners. Speaking at the ministry's regular press conference on July 7, Tran Thanh Hai, deputy director general of the Agency of Foreign Trade, said Vietnam recorded exports of 266.5 billion USD and imports of 283.2 billion USD in the first six months of the year, resulting in a trade deficit of about 16.7 billion USD. The successful conclusion of the negotiations was not merely the end of a process that lasted more than 10 years, but also demonstrated the strong commitment of both Vietnam and EFTA countries to an open, transparent and rules-based international trading system. The agreement sends a clear message that dialogue, cooperation and economic connectivity remain the most effective means of promoting growth, creating jobs and generating prosperity. Vietnamese companies expanding beyond Southeast Asia can now gain a new foothold for capital structuring and supply chain management in Kyrgyzstan, where the special financial investment territory (SFIT) has been launched as an international hub for business, capital, and innovation. Chief of the ministry's Office Lam Van Hoang said at a conference on July 7 that 219 km of national highways were built and another 212 km were upgraded in the first six months. As import markets transform, attendees agreed that trade promotion itself must become more specialised, focused on the demands of each market and sector rather than sticking to traditional promotional events. Smuggling and the production and trade of prohibited goods are becoming increasingly sophisticated, with criminal networks operating across both physical and online spaces. In the first six months of 2026, the ministry initiated legal proceedings against 1,333 cases involving 2,354 suspects. Quang Ninh’s booth has attracted many visitors with displays highlighting the province’s tourism potential, despite the exhibition’s focus on industry. Many visitors stopped to learn about the province and explore opportunities for cooperation in tourism and related sectors. The exhibition brought together numerous domestic enterprises and overseas Vietnamese entrepreneurs, showcasing prominent brands in food, beverages, tourism and logistics, including Me Trang Coffee, Vietnam Tea Shop, BKT Group, Ocean and OPL, along with a wide range of speciality Vietnamese food products introduced by the Vietnamese community in Thailand. Vietnam's exports of wood and wood products exceeded 17 billion USD for the first time in 2025, reaching a record 17.2 billion USD. However, exports to the UK amounted to only 244 million USD, indicating considerable room for growth. With its coastline, islands and diverse landscapes, Khanh Hoa has become one of Vietnam's leading tourism destinations, particularly for international visitors. However, while visitor numbers continue to grow, night-time tourism remains largely fragmented and lacks comprehensive planning, requiring more efforts to further exploit this potential sector. Vietnam currently has around 3.4 million exemplary farming households. However, becoming an entrepreneur requires more than production expertise. Farmers also need modern management skills, market analysis capabilities, financial management knowledge and digital competencies. The restructuring marks the completion of a long-planned reorganisation of Vietnam's securities market, ending HNX's role as a stock exchange for listed equities while establishing clearer functional separation between the country's two bourses. Authorities detected and handled 67,937 violations in the first half of the year, up 36.66% year-on-year. Budget revenue from enforcement reached nearly 9.65 trillion VND (nearly 367 million USD), an increase of 49.36%, while investigation was launched into 1,676 criminal cases involving 2,789 suspects. A growing number of German companies now see Vietnam as an attractive investment destination. With a clear development strategy and new incentives, Da Nang is well-placed to capture demand from German firms seeking new footholds in Asia. Copyright, VietnamPlus, Vietnam News Agency (VNA) Editor-in-chief, Mr. Tran Tien Duan.

多角的分析

経済的影響

ベトナム経済の上半期成長は、紅河デルタ地域の牽引と製造業の回復力に支えられている。これは、2026年の経済成長目標達成に向けた重要な一歩であり、特に電子機器や衣料品といった輸出主導型産業の堅調さが、グローバルサプライチェーンにおけるベトナムの重要性を再確認させている。一方で、167億米ドルの貿易赤字は、国内需要の活発化と輸入依存度の高さを示唆しており、持続的な成長のためには国内産業の強化と輸出競争力の維持が課題となる。

投資家心理

ベトナムの堅調な経済成長と産業回復は、海外からの投資家にとって魅力的なシグナルとなる。特に、製造業への投資は、労働力と生産能力の向上に支えられ、今後も有望視されるだろう。ドイツ企業がベトナムを魅力的な投資先と見なしている点は、欧州からの直接投資増加の可能性を示唆している。しかし、貿易赤字や、農家が起業家になるためのスキル不足といった課題は、投資リスクとして考慮されるべきである。

社会的影響

経済成長は国民生活の向上に寄与する一方で、農家が起業家として成功するために必要なスキル(市場分析、財務管理、デジタル能力)の不足は、所得格差の拡大や地域間の経済格差を助長する可能性がある。また、密輸や違法物品取引への厳格な取り締まりは、社会の安定維持に不可欠だが、オンライン空間での犯罪活動の高度化は、新たな社会課題として浮上している。

市民の声

紅河デルタ地域を中心とした経済成長は、都市部だけでなく地方の雇用機会創出にも繋がる可能性がある。しかし、農家が現代的な経営スキルを習得する必要があるという指摘は、地方住民が経済的恩恵を十分に享受するためには、教育や職業訓練の充実が不可欠であることを示唆している。また、韓国食品の需要拡大は、食文化の多様化という側面もあるが、国内の食品産業への影響も考慮されるべきだろう。

背景・歴史的文脈

ベトナム経済は、1986年のドイモイ(刷新)政策以降、市場経済化を進め、特に製造業と輸出を成長のエンジンとしてきた。紅河デルタ地域は、ハノイ首都圏を中心に、古くからベトナム北部の経済・文化の中心地であり、近年は工業団地の開発やインフラ整備が進み、外国からの投資を呼び込んでいる。中国との関係は、経済的には緊密である一方、歴史的・領土的な緊張も抱えており、ベトナムは「竹外交」と呼ばれるバランス外交を展開し、特定の国への過度な依存を避ける戦略をとっている。このような背景の中、グローバルサプライチェーンの再編や、欧米諸国とのFTA締結などが、ベトナム経済の多様化と成長を後押ししている。

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