General articles are free for 24 hours after publish.
A military group and a border crime economy that want to cancel the common agreement
Maung Suta Mizzima. Looking at the current political situation in Myanmar, it cannot be said that it is moving towards stability. stability of power diplomatic re-entry; The Burmese military group's strategy of simultaneously exploiting border business networks and regaining control of some of the territory it has lost over the past five years is becoming increasingly apparent. The Burmese military group is building a new argument to review or scrap the framework, turning a blind eye to regional and international demands to implement ASEAN's five common agreements. The Union Hluttaw, which is controlled by the junta, passed an emergency motion on July 9 and reiterated that the ASEAN framework is no longer compatible with Myanmar's political developments.He stated that he was encouraged to This is no ordinary diplomatic disagreement. It is a part of the Burmese military group's strategy of political stability. The junta was not completely excluded from ASEAN meetings, but was able to maintain the presence of the bureaucrats it controlled by sending the junta's foreign ministry permanent secretary, U Hong Khan Som. However, such participation depends on the political conditions set by ASEANThe regime is not accepting it, but is using ASEAN's procedure. The main problem is here. The Burmese military group wants to replace ASEAN's "conditional engagement" with its own excuses of "sovereignty" and a "new post-election political system." ASEAN has yet to accept that view, but continued technical-level and ministerial-level engagements create diplomatic space for the regime. Especially from the approach within ASEAN membersThe military group is trying to divide the differences. This is a big test for ASEAN. ASEAN continues to approve the Five Common Agreements, but if it cannot respond precisely to the regime's rejection of the framework, the Five Common Agreements may remain a policy on paper. There is a similar problem on the side of the internal peace process. The seven-member Ethnic Armed Organization (EAO) alliance and the National Unity and Peace Negotiation Committee (NSPNC) track remain a limited negotiation channel rather than a comprehensive peace process. Most of the participants were before the military took power in 2021. Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement) framework and cannot represent the full range of revolutionary forces fighting the regime. Practical changes in the last five years have made it impossible for the military to bring about real peace in the country. Therefore, in Myanmar peace, we must be aware of the difference between the image of "discussion" and "actually participative political negotiation". Discursive channels for the regime can be tools that can be used to gain political legitimacy. However, what Burmese people really need is not only the reduction of violence, but the dominance of the military. Centralization of power and federationIt is a political process that can resolve the basic principles of the Union. In terms of the military situation, Myanmar has not yet reached the stage where one side has won a decisive victory on a national scale. The Burmese military group has strategic directions, border trade routes; Targeting resource areas and administratively important townships, they are re-offensive regionally. However, the advantages of the military group are aviation, big weapon forced military service; Helper of China and Russiaaccording to Drones and allied militias, the weaknesses are the dispersion of forces; instability of transportation routes; People's disapproval Lack of political legitimacy and dependence on neighboring countries. Therefore, the military group may be able to regain control of some areas, but it is far from being possible to stably re-govern the entire country. The nature of the present war is not a "decisive battle" but a course; It is moving to a form of long-term, attrition war that seeks to control resources and regional governance and gain leverage for political bargaining. This military and political competition is linked to border economies. In particular, rare earth mining is spreading beyond the Kachin areas and near the Taang National Liberation Army-controlled areas to the Chinese border of Shan State. US-based policy research organization Stimson Center https://www.stimson.org/2026/rare-earth-mining-in-myanmar-expands-to-tnla-held-territory/? According to data from utm_source=chatgpt.com, more than 600 rare earth mines have been identified across Myanmar. Rare earths are no longer a common resource economy. It is a military group, ethnic armed groups, Chinese traders and processors; local workers; It is becoming a multi-conflict economy with international production chains. Controlling these mines is responsible; Participatory governance is not automatic. environmental protection WorkerProtection and revenue management transparency are still weak. Basic human rights violations and exploitation occur in these mining operations. At the same time, Karen State More evidence is emerging that tiger dispersal operations around Myawady are expanding (or migrating) despite announcements that they are being dismantled. Investigative reports show that, according to analyzed satellite images, the suspected tigers may have been newly built or greatly expanded in the past six months.At least 25 were found. Raiding and arresting the spreading activities in front of the public. Although the buildings show demolition, the evidence suggests that the basic structure remains intact. In that structure, armed protection, Trafficked workers; international access to the Internet; Cryptocurrency and informal payment channels; Cross-border corruption; Relocating quicklyincluding This is Thailand, India Not only is it a security problem for China and ASEAN countries, it is also an economic and legal risk. United States Investment fraud for businesses in India and other countries; routine cost accounting fraud; online dating scams; Cryptocurrency theft and scams targeting job seekers are the main riskshave become Drug trafficking and cross-border crime are not isolated problems. Related to Myanmar Mya
Maung Suta Mizzima. Looking at the current political situation in Myanmar, it cannot be said that it is moving towards stability. stability of power diplomatic re-entry; The Burmese military group's strategy of simultaneously exploiting border business networks and regaining control of some of the territory it has lost over the past five years is becoming increasingly apparent. The Burmese military group is building a new argument to review or scrap the framework, turning a blind eye to regional and international demands to implement ASEAN's five common agreements. The Union Hluttaw, which is controlled by the junta, passed an emergency motion on July 9 and reiterated that the ASEAN framework is no longer compatible with Myanmar's political developments.He stated that he was encouraged to This is no ordinary diplomatic disagreement. It is a part of the Burmese military group's strategy of political stability. The junta was not completely excluded from ASEAN meetings, but was able to maintain the presence of the bureaucrats it controlled by sending the junta's foreign ministry permanent secretary, U Hong Khan Som. However, such participation depends on the political conditions set by ASEANThe regime is not accepting it, but is using ASEAN's procedure. The main problem is here. The Burmese military group wants to replace ASEAN's "conditional engagement" with its own excuses of "sovereignty" and a "new post-election political system." ASEAN has yet to accept that view, but continued technical-level and ministerial-level engagements create diplomatic space for the regime. Especially from the approach within ASEAN membersThe military group is trying to divide the differences. This is a big test for ASEAN. ASEAN continues to approve the Five Common Agreements, but if it cannot respond precisely to the regime's rejection of the framework, the Five Common Agreements may remain a policy on paper. There is a similar problem on the side of the internal peace process. The seven-member Ethnic Armed Organization (EAO) alliance and the National Unity and Peace Negotiation Committee (NSPNC) track remain a limited negotiation channel rather than a comprehensive peace process. Most of the participants were before the military took power in 2021. Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement) framework and cannot represent the full range of revolutionary forces fighting the regime. Practical changes in the last five years have made it impossible for the military to bring about real peace in the country. Therefore, in Myanmar peace, we must be aware of the difference between the image of "discussion" and "actually participative political negotiation". Discursive channels for the regime can be tools that can be used to gain political legitimacy. However, what Burmese people really need is not only the reduction of violence, but the dominance of the military. Centralization of power and federationIt is a political process that can resolve the basic principles of the Union. In terms of the military situation, Myanmar has not yet reached the stage where one side has won a decisive victory on a national scale. The Burmese military group has strategic directions, border trade routes; Targeting resource areas and administratively important townships, they are re-offensive regionally. However, the advantages of the military group are aviation, big weapon forced military service; Helper of China and Russiaaccording to Drones and allied militias, the weaknesses are the dispersion of forces; instability of transportation routes; People's disapproval Lack of political legitimacy and dependence on neighboring countries. Therefore, the military group may be able to regain control of some areas, but it is far from being possible to stably re-govern the entire country. The nature of the present war is not a "decisive battle" but a course; It is moving to a form of long-term, attrition war that seeks to control resources and regional governance and gain leverage for political bargaining. This military and political competition is linked to border economies. In particular, rare earth mining is spreading beyond the Kachin areas and near the Taang National Liberation Army-controlled areas to the Chinese border of Shan State. US-based policy research organization Stimson Center https://www.stimson.org/2026/rare-earth-mining-in-myanmar-expands-to-tnla-held-territory/? According to data from utm_source=chatgpt.com, more than 600 rare earth mines have been identified across Myanmar. Rare earths are no longer a common resource economy. It is a military group, ethnic armed groups, Chinese traders and processors; local workers; It is becoming a multi-conflict economy with international production chains. Controlling these mines is responsible; Participatory governance is not automatic. environmental protection WorkerProtection and revenue management transparency are still weak. Basic human rights violations and exploitation occur in these mining operations. At the same time, Karen State More evidence is emerging that tiger dispersal operations around Myawady are expanding (or migrating) despite announcements that they are being dismantled. Investigative reports show that, according to analyzed satellite images, the suspected tigers may have been newly built or greatly expanded in the past six months.At least 25 were found. Raiding and arresting the spreading activities in front of the public. Although the buildings show demolition, the evidence suggests that the basic structure remains intact. In that structure, armed protection, Trafficked workers; international access to the Internet; Cryptocurrency and informal payment channels; Cross-border corruption; Relocating quicklyincluding This is Thailand, India Not only is it a security problem for China and ASEAN countries, it is also an economic and legal risk. United States Investment fraud for businesses in India and other countries; routine cost accounting fraud; online dating scams; Cryptocurrency theft and scams targeting job seekers are the main riskshave become Drug trafficking and cross-border crime are not isolated problems. Related to Myanmar Mya
Original source
Mizzima (Burmese)