Sara Duterte, Ally Skip Probe Into Alleged Kill Plot
Politics
2026年7月8日
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Sara Duterte, Ally Skip Probe Into Alleged Kill Plot

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Vice President Sara Duterte and an ally have failed to appear before the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) for a probe into an alleged plot to kill the Vice President and her family. Duterte is facing impeachment charges for allegedly threatening the President and his family, and inciting sedition.

Vice President Sara Duterte and one of her allies, identified as Princess Maui, failed to appear before the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) to substantiate their claims of an alleged plot to kill the Vice President and her family, NBI Senior Agent Mark Calilung said. Calilung made the disclosure while testifying for the prosecution during Duterte's impeachment trial, particularly on Article IV of the Articles of Impeachment. The article accuses the Vice President of culpable violation of the Constitution, high crimes, and betrayal of public trust for allegedly threatening President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and his family with assassination and for allegedly inciting sedition. "We tried to investigate the supposed threats against them, Your Honor. It was included in our letter to the Vice President. That is why we invited her to our office so we could investigate the alleged threats to her life," Calilung said. He made the statement in response to a question from senator-judge Alan Peter Cayetano on whether Princess Maui complied with the NBI's invitation to provide details about the alleged assassination plot against the Duterte family, purportedly known as "Oplan Romanov." "Yes, we invited the Vice President and Princess Maui to come to the NBI. They did not appear, Your Honor," Calilung added. House impeachment adviser and former Surigao del Norte Representative Ace Barbers said the Duterte camp could not expect the NBI to act on allegations that Duterte and her allies themselves failed to substantiate before investigators. "They did not cooperate, so where is the NBI supposed to start?" Barbers said. Defense counsel Mark Vinluan, however, maintained that Oplan Romanov is real, arguing that it was the reason Duterte made the statements during a November 2024 press conference in which she said she had instructed someone to kill President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., First Lady Liza Araneta-Marcos, and former House Speaker Martin Romualdez if she herself were assassinated. "When VP Sara uttered those words, she was not responding as Sara Duterte the Vice President, but as Sara Duterte the wife, mother, daughter, and sister who only sought to protect her own life and the lives of her family members." "Operation Romanov is in place, and the threat against their lives is real. VP Sara became the target of unauthorized intelligence and surveillance operations by government operatives that exposed her family to high-level risks and security threats, causing intense trauma and uncontrollable fear," Vinluan added. Duterte is on trial before the Senate impeachment court over allegations of culpable violation of the Constitution, betrayal of public trust, and other impeachable offenses. At the start of the trial, the House prosecution panel presented Calilung as its first witness in support of the article accusing Duterte of threatening President Marcos, the First Lady, and Romualdez. During the November 2024 press conference, Duterte said: "Huwag kang mag-alala, Ma'am sa security ko, kasi may kinausap na ako na tao. Sabi ko sa kanya, kapag pinatay ako, patayin mo si BBM, si Liza Araneta, at si Martin Romualdez." (Don't worry about my security because I have already spoken to someone. I told that person that if I am killed, kill BBM, Liza Araneta, and Martin Romualdez.) She continued: "No joke, no joke. Nagbilin na ako, Ma'am. 'Pag mamatay ako, sabi ko, huwag ka tumigil ha, hanggang hindi mo mapatay sila. And then he said yes." (No joke. I already gave instructions that if I die, don't stop until you have killed them.) — MCG, GMA News

多角的分析

経済的影響

副大統領とその側近が、自身と家族への暗殺計画に関するNBIの調査に応じなかったという事実は、フィリピン国内の政治的安定性に対する懸念を増幅させる可能性がある。政治的不確実性は、国内および海外からの投資家心理に悪影響を与え、資本流入の鈍化や既存投資の撤退につながるリスクがある。特に、副大統領が政府高官であることから、その行動は政治リスクプレミアムの上昇に寄与しうる。

投資家心理

このニュースは、フィリピンの政治リスクを重視する投資家にとって、警戒信号となる。副大統領が公式な捜査に非協力的であるという事実は、法の支配や政府機関の機能に対する信頼性を損なう可能性がある。これにより、フィリピン経済への投資判断において、より慎重な姿勢が取られることが予想され、特に外国直接投資(FDI)の増加ペースに影響を与える可能性がある。

社会的影響

副大統領とその家族への暗殺計画疑惑、およびそれに対する捜査への非協力は、国民の安全保障への不安を増大させる。特に、自身が暗殺された場合に大統領らを殺害するよう指示したという副大統領の発言は、社会的な分断や対立を煽る可能性があり、国民の間に恐怖や不信感を生む。これは、公の場での発言や行動に対する国民の規範意識にも影響を与えうる。

市民の声

副大統領がNBIの調査に応じなかったことは、国民にとって「なぜ当局の調査に協力しないのか」「隠していることがあるのか」という疑念を生じさせる。これは、政府機関への信頼を揺るがし、政治プロセスへの参加意欲を低下させる可能性がある。また、副大統領の発言は、国民間に「報復」や「暴力」が正当化されるという誤ったメッセージを送るリスクがあり、社会全体の治安に対する不安を煽る。

背景・歴史的文脈

フィリピンでは、政治家間の対立や権力闘争がしばしば公になり、法的手続きや調査への協力姿勢が争点となることがある。特に、副大統領と現政権との関係は、過去の政権下でも緊張が見られた。今回の件は、副大統領サラ・ドゥテルテ氏が、2024年11月の記者会見で、自身が暗殺された場合にフェルディナンド・マルコス・ジュニア大統領、リザ・アネタ・マルコス大統領夫人、マーティン・ロムアルデス下院議長を殺害するよう指示したと発言したことに端を発している。この発言は、弾劾条項第4条における脅迫や扇動の罪で、副大統領が訴追される一因となった。NBIの調査は、この発言の背景にあるとされる「オプ・ロマン」という暗殺計画の真偽を明らかにするためのものだったが、副大統領側が調査に応じなかったことで、疑惑は深まっている。

原文ソース

GMA News Philippines

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